Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005005 0.005282 0.005567 0.005883 0.006224 0.006581 0.006985
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004514 0.004924 0.005365 0.005877 0.006459 0.007102 0.007870
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004179 0.004658 0.005190 0.005829 0.006580 0.007441 0.008513
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003886 0.004404 0.004993 0.005717 0.006592 0.007627 0.008959
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003658 0.004203 0.004834 0.005628 0.006610 0.007802 0.009381
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003516 0.004091 0.004769 0.005638 0.006738 0.008108 0.009976
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003284 0.003856 0.004540 0.005431 0.006577 0.008031 0.010059
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003185 0.003779 0.004499 0.005451 0.006701 0.008321 0.010639
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003156 0.003785 0.004559 0.005600 0.006996 0.008847 0.011573
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003033 0.003666 0.004454 0.005529 0.006990 0.008964 0.011932
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002942 0.003584 0.004391 0.005507 0.007047 0.009166 0.012423
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002845 0.003489 0.004308 0.005452 0.007055 0.009294 0.012809
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002807 0.003472 0.004327 0.005540 0.007269 0.009735 0.013707
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002735 0.003407 0.004281 0.005535 0.007348 0.009983 0.014324
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002653 0.003326 0.004209 0.005490 0.007367 0.010139 0.014802
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002556 0.003221 0.004100 0.005387 0.007294 0.010148 0.015036
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002472 0.003131 0.004008 0.005304 0.007247 0.010193 0.015329
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002424 0.003088 0.003981 0.005314 0.007337 0.010457 0.016014
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002312 0.002954 0.003821 0.005122 0.007112 0.010205 0.015776
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002274 0.002922 0.003804 0.005141 0.007211 0.010481 0.016498
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002276 0.002945 0.003866 0.005279 0.007503 0.011088 0.017869
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002214 0.002877 0.003795 0.005213 0.007466 0.011141 0.018211
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002170 0.002832 0.003755 0.005193 0.007501 0.011319 0.018801